October NICS Gun Sales: USA Private Stock Over 500 Million

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October NICS Gun Sales: USA Private Stock over 500 Million

As expected in last month’s article, gun sales increased in October. According to the figures released by the FBI National Instant Background Check System (NICS), gun sales were about 1.33 million for October 2023, roughly a nine percent increase over the gun sales figures for October 2022. 1.33 million gun sales make October 2023 the third-highest October for gun sales. Checks done in the NICS system in October 2023 were about 2.26 million, making October 2023 the sixth-highest number of checks done in October since the first October in the system was recorded in 1999.

The number of gun sales and NICS checks is not a 1 to 1 ratio. Many more NICS checks are done than firearm sales. NICS checks are done for gun permits and for other purposes. One NICS check can be used to sell more than one gun. People with qualifying permits in 25 states can use their carry permit to purchase guns without going through additional NICS checks.  The number of NICS checks done per gun sold varies above and below about two NICS checks for each gun sold.

October 2023 NICS Checks
October 2023 NICS Checks

An increase in gun sales was predicted for October because of the Hamas raid into Israel, where there were over 1,400 Israeli deaths, many, if not most, of them non-combatants. In response, Israel is modifying its strict gun control policies.

Before 1900, it was understood tribal warfare was indiscriminate. The idea of “rules of warfare” is fairly recent, with Saint Augustine providing some commentary and Saint Thomas Aquinas in the 13th century developing a robust theory of “just war.”  For both sides to agree to the rules of war, there has to be some similarity of culture in the opposing sides.

In most of history, no such rules of warfare existed. The Hamas raid exposed the world to the brutal reality: those who have weapons and the will to use them can only be effectively opposed by others with weapons and the will to use them. The same lesson is being shown in the conflict with Ukraine and Russia.  The surge of antipathy toward Jews in the world and the United States has resulted in many Jews realizing the need to have weapons in order to protect themselves. This is part of a trend that has accelerated as the world has become more chaotic and less predictable.

In the United States, most residents are still relatively free to acquire weapons. Firearm sales have been over 1 million a month for over four years. The number of privately owned firearms in the United States has roughly doubled since 1996. The number of privately owned guns is approaching 500 million, with a population of 330 million, or over 1.5 guns per resident of the United States. The primary stated purpose for owning firearms in the United States is for the protection of self and others.

Including the October sales, it brings the total gun sales in 2023 to 12.01 million. Correcting for firearms sales already part of the private stock that leaves us with 10.4 million private firearms added in 2023. The estimate of the private stock at the end of 2022 was 490 million firearms.

As of October, the United States has about 500 million privately owned firearms, or a privately owned firearms stock of half a billion.

If all people capable of bearing arms were integrated into local and state militias, this would be a formidable force. No other nation on Earth comes close.


About Dean Weingarten:

Dean Weingarten has been a peace officer, a military officer, was on the University of Wisconsin Pistol Team for four years, and was first certified to teach firearms safety in 1973. He taught the Arizona concealed carry course for fifteen years until the goal of Constitutional Carry was attained. He has degrees in meteorology and mining engineering, and retired from the Department of Defense after a 30 year career in Army Research, Development, Testing, and Evaluation.

Dean Weingarten

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Nam62

My daughter today bought a new HellCat today.

DunRanull

My Ex was an Ozarkian hellcat.. for sale, too..

Darkman

Another example of why. Citizens are buying firearms in record numbers.
Armed woman steps in to defend man shot in the face from aggressor | Fox News
s://www.foxnews.com/us/armed-woman-steps-in-defend-man-shot-face-aggressor

swmft

a woman defending with a gun ,not a fry-pan..what is the world coming to ……………yea you go girl one for our side

swmft

you left out the growing number of black conservatives, the woke celebrate MLK but lie about who he was, a staunchly conservative black man that applied for a ccw, he believed in peaceful change ,but not being a chump

Last edited 11 months ago by swmft
james

Only in America! God Bless the USA. The Founding Fathers got it right.

OGK

The gun companies should thank Biden & the Left for 500 million guns in the US

Jay Dee

I would be curious where the 500 million number came from and it was arrived at. The reason I ask is that these numbers are often derived by Liberal think tanks to minimize the number of gun owners and guns. It’s propaganda designed to “show” that not that many people own icky guns and that there are not that many guns to seize. It’s a common error called confirmation bias. The problem with such studies is that they often rely on surveys. I for one would never admit to owning guns on a survey & I know others who take… Read more »

Steve

I just re-finished the stocks of no less than 6 WW2 era battle rifles. M1-Garand, 3 ea ’03 Springfields and 2ea 8mm Mausers. Gary Kleck and others have no clue as to how many firearms from all corners of the globe were brought to the USA by Veterans returning home – all prior to or subsequent to 1950. My father in law, returning from Korea in 1952 had no fewer than 5 in his “sea locker”…So, those methods, estimates etc..are SWAGes Dean. Hopefully, that number of 500 million is just that – a SWAG and a very low one at… Read more »

GomeznSA

Jay – the bats recently admitted to having almost a billion firearms transaction records ‘on file’ – illegal for them to retain that data BUT IMHO that tells me there are a lot more guns out in the wild than the antis would like to believe.
The analysis that Dean mentioned in his reply to you is quite likely on the low side.

DunRanull

A billion guns in USA? “O, be still my beating heart!”. Are they all ammo’d up?
And that’s the thing, some own lotsa guns, many own none or have little ammo, in spite of the numbers.
Me, I don’t own any real guns, just them black-powdery collector things.

Ledesma

And 99% of these weapons likely remain in active service but serve silently on constant stand-by. Silent weapons can have service lives of a 1000 years.

DunRanull

Just looking at the incredible rise in anti-Semitism and the calls for GENOCIDE in our beloved country, I would advise all American Jews to “GUN UP” and do so openly.
The tragic events in Europa wouldnt have gone down the way it did had Jews and others SEEN THE THREAT and resisted the nazis violently. BUT, nobody believed Hitler or the very idea that a civilised country like Germany would allow such things to take place. Finally the Warsaw Ghetto resisted- with few weapons, little time, and no hope- it was too late. But it would never happen here… right?